Econometria · Econometria aplicada · prática da econometria · Uncategorized

Pontes entre Econometria e “Machine Learning”

Este post sobre variáveis instrumentais ficou muito bom.

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Experimentos: precisamos de mais

Há muito pouca gente fazendo experimentos por aqui. É preciso: (a) reconhecer as limitações da ferramenta, (b) estimular a concorrência e (c) integrar melhor a prática com a teoria.

Experimentos são vendidos, por alguns, como a panacéia. Não é. A economia política predomina. Não acredita? Faça como Hernando de Soto: calcule quantos dias e por quantas repartições/agências uma proposta de experimento tem que passar até ser aprovada pelo governo. Depois, inclua uma análise mais cínica, de Public Choice, misture tudo e você perceberá que experimentos são importantes, mas…

Claro, desejamos mais experimentos e menos picaretagem. Mas não ajuda se não formos realistas.

Eis um bom texto sobre o tema.

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Recado importante da Public Choice Society

Recado importante:

Due to popular demand, we are extending the submission deadline forward by two weeks to Friday November 15 at 11:59 p.m. Eastern. To propose your paper, please submit the title and abstract at our Submit Paper page. The selection panel will do its best to respond with decisions by December 1.

The Best Conference:

Friendly reminder, the 57th Annual Meetings will be held March 12-14, 2020 at the gleaming Newport Beach Marriott Hotel & Spa in Newport Beach, California. Attendees will experience PCS’s rigorous yet collegial atmosphere, including exciting plenary discussions, over 70 concurrent sessions on topics across all fields in public choice, and much time for informal discussion, socializing, and sustenance. Arrive in time for Thursday’s opening plenary and cocktail reception. Join for Saturday’s awards luncheon, the Duncan Black Prize, Gordon Tullock Prize, and Vincent & Elinor Ostrom Prize. And stay through Saturday’s closing reception. Hotel, registration, and other helpful info is on our 2020 Conference Page.

Graduate Students:

You are eligible for the fifth annual annual Vincent and Elinor Ostrom Prize, awarding $1,000 for best combined paper & presentation by a graduate student (honorarium sponsored by the Institute for Humane Studies). Graduate students can also apply for financial assistance under the Society’s Student Fellows Program. Professor Lynne Kiesling, PCS’s Director of Graduate Programs, will contact graduate students who have submitted their title and abstract at the Submit Paper page.

Plenary Speakers: We are excited to announce our line up of plenary speakers:

– Amihai Glazer, University of California – Irvine, “How commitment problems affect policy”

– Susan Rose-Ackerman, Yale University, “Corruption and Institutions”

– Andrew T. Young, Texas Tech University, “Feudalism in Medieval Europe”

– Claudia Williamson, Mississippi State University, “Culture, Regulation, and Development”

Please click below to follow us on Facebook and Twitter, where we will be posting more about these fine scholars, their work, and how it situates into the broader body of public choice research.

Pre-conference experimental / empirical workshop . The 2020 conference will have an important new feature. For the first time, PCS will be conducting a pre-conference empirical workshop (open to scholars who have a paper accepted onto the program), covering topics such as causal inference, machine learning, artisanal data techniques, and more, specifically on how these methods are being utilized in new lines of public choice research. Participants will be encouraged to bring a research problem to share and workshop. More details will be shared once program decisions have been made. If you are interested in learning more, please drop us a line at info@publicchoicesociety.org.

We look forward to seeing you next March in Newport Beach! It truly provides the dynamic setting for our conference that only Southern California can.

Sincerely yours,

Roger Congleton

President, 2018-2020

and

Edward J. Lopez

Executive Director and Past President