economia dos esportes

Copa do Mundo e a Economia

P_20170606_105831_vHDR_On_1_1Embora os dois artigos a seguir não se digam como na área de Sports Economics, eles são totalmente compatíveis com a agenda de pesquisa que segue – paradoxalmente – pouco apreciada e conhecida por aqui.


The Announcement Impact of Hosting the FIFA World Cup on Host Country Stock Markets

This study is an investigation of the impact of hosting the FIFA World Cup soccer tournament on the stock market of the host country when the tournament is announced. The sample under examination for this study consists of the 5 FIFA World Cups, between the period 1994 and 2010. Additional factors to be assessed include investigating whether stock markets react efficiently or show a positive reaction to hosting the FIFA World Cup. An event study research methodology is used to investigate the impact of hosting the FIFA World Cup on the stock exchange of the host country, by examining the movement of stock market returns across various event windows during the announcement and tournament starting date stages.

It is found that country stock markets react differently to the announcement of the tournament. For instance South Africa appears to show a positive trend in stock returns at the tournament announcement date, while Japan shows a decline in daily stock returns a day after the announcement of the tournament. It is found that for the tournament announcement, most countries show insignificant negative cumulative abnormal stock returns for different event windows. There are however few instances where country stock markets do show positive cumulative abnormal stock returns, with statistical significant results. The implication of this study is that FIFA World Cups have varied impacts on host country stock markets. This study contributes to the understanding of the impacts of mega sporting events on host country stock markets, with specific reference to the FIFA World Cup.

O segundo é o: Does the World Cup get the economic ball rolling? Evidence from a synthetic control approach

In this paper we analyze the impact of hosting the FIFA Soccer World Cup on GDP per capita in a worldwide sample of countries using a transparent statistical methodology for data-driven case studies ⿿ the synthetic control method. Using country level annual-data covering all events occurring in the period between 1978 (Argentina) and 2006 (Germany), we show that the estimated average treatment effectwas either zero or negative for all but one of the countries analyzed. Our results, therefore, support the general claim that World Cups are not statistically associated to development and economic growth.

Interessante, não?

agente-principal · Capital Humano

Políticas educacionais

Segundo as conclusões deste estudo de 2017 cuja amostra são as escolas públicas brasileiras:

Based on the theoretical propositions and the empirical evidence, educational policies in Brazil should pay special attention to the managerial aspects of school units. In this study, the prominent role of school managers in developing organizational structures to support teaching and learning can be observed in the positive correlation between the level of proficiency in the school’s mathematics and the IME, particularly in schools with the worst levels of proficiency. Therefore, it is extremely important to adapt the existing signaling mechanisms – fluid educational goals instead of goals designed by information at the starting point on proficiency level and a shorter delay in data collection on educational performance, among other things – or to create new mechanisms that act to reduce problems such as moral hazard.

Ah sim, outro resultado interessante é que um diretor de escola, ao atingir a meta de desempenho estabelecida, passa a apresentar esforço marginal decrescente. Nada que não se esperasse…