Uncategorized

O combate ao terrorismo também deveria atentar para o combate ao crime?

Pistas para a resposta aqui. Trecho do resumo:

We find that engagement in crime reduces a group’s chance of demise by around 50% and extends its lifespan by around 7 years on average. Terrorist groups involved in narcotics are less likely to end by police or military force, but are also less likely to win political concessions. We find that groups involved in extortion live the longest and are also less likely to end by force or by splintering.

Interessante, principalmente quando se pensa no grau de criminalidade no Brasil. Minha impressão é de que nos faltam dados bem coletados sobre esta relação aqui, no Brasil. O terrorismo pode não ter bases de treinamento aqui (supostamente), mas pouco se fala sobre a questão financeira (e o bitcoin e afins pode obscurecer prováveis rotas de financiamento do Brasil para outros lugares).

Tema interessante, creio.

economia do futebol · Uncategorized

Profético…

If our rosy predictions for Brazilian soccer come true, then that won’t make Brazil as a whole richer. Rather, the Brazilian World Cup is best understood as a series of financial transfers: from women to men (who will have more fun), from Brazilian taxpayers to FIFA and the world’s soccer fans, and from taxpayers to Brazilian soccer clubs and construction companies. Possibly Brazilian society desires these transfers. Still, we have to be clear that this is what’s going on: a transfer of wealth from Brazil as a whole to various interest groups inside and outside the country. This is not an economic bonanza. Brazil is sacrificing a little bit of its future to host the World Cup. [Kuper, Simon & Szymanski, Stefan. Soccernomics: why England loses, why German and Brazil win, and why the U.S., Japan, Australia, Turkey and even India are destined to become the kings of the world’s most popular sport. Nation Books, 2014, p. 286-7]

O único ponto talvez não imaginado neste corretíssimo trecho é que a magnitude de algumas transferências seria bastante elevado e escolhidas pelo presidente e seus amigos de uma forma não exatamente compatível com a escolha da sociedade (embora os mesmos autores citem o barulho de 2013).

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